Dividend Aristocrats: Stocks to Hold Forever

Written By Jimmy Mengel

Posted November 10, 2014

“Our favorite holding period is forever.”
—Warren Buffett

If you’ve been an investor for even a couple of years, I’m sure you’ve seen this quote trotted out willy-nilly. It’s brilliant in its simplicity, and true to its intentions. Of course you’d like to hold a stock forever… well, at least until you’re ready to sell it for a massive payday.

Now, it’s easy for a billionaire like Uncle Warren to say ‘hold forever’, but for individual investors like you and I, the truth is a bit more murky.

You know as well as I do that all stocks are not created equal, and very, very few are solid enough to hold indefinitely — especially during times of market turmoil and uncertainly. And we’re staring down that double-barrel shotgun right now…

So what makes a stock worth holding forever?

Much like a marriage, there isn’t a stock out there that won’t go through ups and downs: infighting, restructuring, splits, spin-offs, etc. But there are some stocks that you are better off sticking with “through good times and bad, through sickness and in health…”

In my opinion, those stocks are the mighty “Dividend Aristocrats”.

I’m not talking about some foppish, check-writing member of the French aristocracy here: I’m talking about solid blue-chip companies that have raised their dividend each and every year for the past 25 years…

And right now, those are the stocks that I am comfortable owning, even if the market goes through a serious correction.

Here’s why…

I gave a presentation at the World MoneyShow in Toronto last month about this very topic. I talked about a variety of issues in the market right now, and my fondness for high-yield dividend stocks in the face of an impending market disaster. While I wasn’t surprised to find a crowd of people waiting for me after the speech with questions, I was surprised at the main question I got: What are these “dividend aristocrats” you speak of?

Now, due to the fact that I’m constantly poring over financial and investment information I do operate in a bit of an information cocoon. I naively assumed that most investors had heard of dividend aristocrats….

I was wrong.

Based on discussions with my Crow’s Nest readers and the feedback from the conference appearance, I have come to find out that while most individual investors are very familiar with dividends, they were not hip to the “Dividend Aristocrats Index”.

This index is comprised of S&P 500 companies that have raised their dividend each and every year for at least 25 years. The Index is split across 10 business sectors and highlight the ones that have been profitable enough over two-plus decades to reward their investors with ever-increasing dividend payouts.

The list is chock full of the usual suspects: Coca-Cola Co (NYSE: KO), Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE: XOM), McDonald’s Corp (NYSE: MCD) and Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT) to name a few. All of those companies have been no-brainers over the long haul.

But there are some lesser known companies on the list that are great for building and most importantly —  diversifying — your portfolio, including Maryland’s hometown heroes McCormick & Co (NYSE: MKC), T. Rowe Price Group (NASDAQ: TROW), and Stanley Black & Decker (NYSE: SWK).

These are all great additions to a long-term dividend portfolio.

But while Warren Buffett has the luxury and resources to boil down and analyze each and every stock purchase to the bone, some of us just want a few stocks to buy and hold, without having to watch them day in and day out. If you are one of those people — God knows I am — then you can easily get exposure to the entire index.

Here’s how…

If you’d like to get easy and cheap exposure to Dividend Aristocrats, there are dividend aristocrat ETFs that can deliver the goods in short order. Since we’ve been talking Buffett, let’s focus on an ETF from a company that Buffett has been most bullish on: Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (NASDAQ: VIG).

It actually takes the Dividend Aristocrat model and opens it up even more. While the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrat Index is the pinnacle of dividend-paying companies, there are many other very consistent yearly dividend increases coming from other companies.

Using a similar index but with a 10-year instead of a 25-year track record opens up a way to increase the overall yield by reducing the expense ratio.

The Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF is a passive ETF designed to track the performance of the NASDAQ US Dividend Achievers Select Index. This is a weighted index, and the ETF will roughly hold the same proportions as it.

It is worth noting that the index is not limited to NASDAQ exchange-listed companies. In fact, a vast majority of held stocks are NYSE-listed.vanguard div etf

The fund has diverse exposure to individual companies and sectors alike, as you can see to the right.

In total, 163 companies are currently held, with a median market cap of $59 billion. The average price-to-earnings ratio is 18.6, and the price-to-book ratio is 3.3.

VIG holds about $24 billion in assets and has an average daily volume of just under 800,000 shares.

With such a large volume, the share price rarely strays beyond a penny or two from the net asset value, and the bid/ask spread is always very close.

One thing in particular to note is that this ETF holds larger positions in some companies, and the index skews towards the industrials sector.

The 30-day SEC yield comes to 2.06% with quarterly distributions. VIG sports an ultra-low 0.1% expense ratio thanks to the very large total assets it holds.

So there you go: plenty of safe, dividend-yielding plays to get you started as a true aristocrat. And you don’t even have to own a monocle or wear a powdered wig.

If you’d like to compound those dividend payments, almost every dividend aristocrat company offers an IRM(72) program. I’d recommend enrolling in one if you choose a ‘hold forever’ stock. It can supercharge your dividends and allow you to collect 36% more from the exact same shares over the long haul.

*Editor’s note, you can read the entire list of Dividend Aristocrats on the Outsider Club website.